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Câmbio e crescimento


  Documentos 1 a 48 de 48
Macroeconomia Desenvolvimentista
2016. With José Luis Oreiro e Nelson Marconi (2016). Our more complete analysis of Developmental Macroeconomics - the central economic theory within New Developmentalism. (book)
Industrial policy and exchange rate skepticism
2015. With Fernando Rugitsky. Classical Developmentalism (Prebisch et al.) was skeptical in relation to exchange rate policy, preferring industrial policy on the form of high import taxes, while for New Developmentalism the neutralization of the tendency to the cyclical and chronic overvaluation of the exchange rate is the key policy to be adopted. (Paper to be published)
Developmental Macroeconomics
2014. With Nelson Marconi and José Luís Oreiro. Developmental Macroeconomics is a book on development macroeconomics associated with New Developmentalism. In its core are the exchange rate and the current account, instead of the budget deficit and the interest rate. (Book: Routledge)
A theoretical framework for a Structuralist Development Macroeconomics
2014. With José Luis Oreiro and Nelson Marconi. A synthesis of structuralist development macroeconomics and the critique of the "foreign constraint" thesis. (Paper in edited book)
A taxa de câmbio no centro da teoria do desenvolvimento
2012. In so far as structuralist development macroeconomics assumes that developing countries face a tendency to the cyclical overvaluation of the eschange rate, it makes the exchange rate chronically overvalued. Thus, it ceases to be just a short term macroeconomic problem, to be part of the corre of development economics. (Paper: Estudos Avançados) English version
The exchange rate at the center of development economics
2012. In so far as structuralist development macroeconomics assumes that developing countries face a tendency to the cyclical overvaluation of the eschange rate, it makes the exchange rate chronically overvalued. Thus, it ceases to be just a short term macroeconomic problem, to be part of the corre of development economics. (Paper: Estudos Avançados) Portuguese version
The euro crisis, a structuralist macroeconomics approach
2012. The euro was a major mistake. Sovereign countries changed their national moneys for a "foreign currency", which they cannot either issue or depreciate. (Slide presentation)
Structuralist macroeconomics and the new developmentalism
2012. A sum up of a structuralist development macroeconomics and of the ensuing national development strategy: new developmentalism. A theoretical step ahead in relation to Globalization and Competition. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
Structuralist Development Macroeconomics and New Developmentalism
2012. A class at LAPORDE/FGV summarizing structuralist development macroeconomics and of new developmentalism. (Class: slide presentation)
Mondialisation et Compétition de Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
2011. Angel Asensio sur le livre Mondialisation et Compétition.
A tendência à sobreapreciação da taxa de câmbio no Brasil
2010. The tendency to the cyclical overevaluation of the exchange rate in developing countries is easily seen in Brazil. (Paper in edited book)
Principais trabalhos de Bresser-Pereira sobre taxa de câmbio e crescimento
2010. My main works relating the exchange rate with economic growth. (A bibliography, only in this website).
Globalization and Competition
2010. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Cambridge University Press).
Globalização e Competição
2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Elsevier).
Globalização e Competição
2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Elsevier).
Globalización y Competencia
2010. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Siglo XXI).
Globalización y Competencia
2010. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Siglo XXI).
Doença holandesa e indústria (coletânea)
2010. Livro que contém os trabalhos apresentados no 4o. Fórum de Economia da Fundação Getulio Vargas.
Common currency and economic integration in Mercosur
2010. With Marcio Holland. Latin America integration, particularly Mercorsul, would be strengthened if there was a common currency. We should work on this direction. (Paper : Journal of Post Keynesian Economics.
La tendencia a la sobrevaluación del tipo de cambio
2009. Brazil as all developing countries is subjected to the tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate. Since 1991 Brazil stop neutralizing this tendency, and was stage of substitution of foreign for domestic savings, balance of payment crises and low growth. (Paper: Economía UNAM, México, Vol. 6, No. 18). Portuguese version available.
A tendência à sobreapreciação da taxa de câmbio
2009. Brazil as all developing countries is subjected to the tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate. Since 1991 Brazil stop neutralizing this tendency, and was stage of substitution of foreign for domestic savings, balance of payment crises and low growth. (Paper: Econômica, Rio de Janeiro, V. 11, No. 1 Spanish version available.
Why not limit capital inflows? (Folha, 25.5.09)
2009. Because this policy goes against the neoliberal fundamentalist principles that the economists learned in their schools. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
Por que não limitar a entrada de capitais? (Folha, 25.5.09)
2009. Porque essa política vai contra os princípios fundamentalistas neoliberais aprendidos pelos economistas nas suas escolas (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
The tendency to the over-appreciation of the exchange rate.
2008. In developing countries there is the tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate. If countries do not neutralize it, they will experiment slow growth, and catching up will not happen. (Chapter 4 of book to be published, Globalization and Competition). Spanish version and Portuguese version available.
La enfermedad holandesa y su neutralización
2008. The Dutch disease or natural resources curse is a major market failure to the extent that appreciates the exchange rate and makes not profitable industries using technology in the state of the art. English version available.
Doença holandesa e sua neutralização: uma abordagem ricardiana
2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current equilibrium" that is inconsistent with economic growth, and the"industrial equilibrium" that will be achieved if the country is able to neutralize the disease. (Paper in edited book) English version published in Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach
2008. A country suffering from the Dutch disease has two "equilibrium" exchange rates: the "current equilibrium" that is inconsistent with economic growth, and the"industrial equilibrium" that will be achieved if the country is able to neutralize the disease. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
Câmbio real e poupança interna (Valor, 20.8.08)
2008. Contrarily to what say conventional economists, current account deficit does not imply excess demand it may simply be the outcome of an overvalued exchange rate. (Article with Paulo Gala: Valor).
The political economy of trade, finance, and the exchange rate
2007. Trade cannot be de-linked from finance because the exchange rate represents a major intersection between the two field. Yet, the exchange rate is forgotten in international trade and in economic growth courses, and in trade negotiations at WTO. Countries that have reserve currencies abhor taking on the exchange rate (Intervention at UNCTAD seminar)
Developing Brazil - Overcoming the Failure of the Washington Consensus
2009. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system; a first presentation of the developmental macroeconomics. Why Brazil failed to grow fast after the Real Plan. English version available. The high interest-overvalued currency trap. (This book is an atualized version of Macroeconomia da Estagnação)
Macroeconomia da Estagnação: crítica da ortodoxia convencional no Brasil pós-1994
2007. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system; a first presentation of the developmental macroeconomics. Why Brazil failed to grow fast after the Real Plan. English version available. (Book: Editora 34) Developing Brazil is an atualized version of this book
Tarifas, câmbio e OMC (Folha, 30.07.07)
2007. Tariffs are often not protectionist but compensate an overvalued currency. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).
Substitution of foreign for domestic savings: the Brazilian case
2006. Between 1994 and 1999, foreign savings substitute domestic ones instead of increasing investment (72,5%) The inverse happened when the country experienced current account surplus (113,9%). (Paper, just in this site) Portuguese version available.
Doença holandesa e estagnação (Folha, 04.12.06)
2006. The Dutch disease hit the Brazilian economy since the early 1990s trade liberalization appreciated in effective terms the exchange rate. It is quasi-stagnation main long term cause. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)
Bresser-Pereira critica FHC e Lula de populismo cambial (Estado, 10.10.06)
2006. FHC and Lula incurred in exchange rate populism (populismo cambial). (Interview: O Estado de S.Paulo)
The substitution of foreign for domestic savings and its inverse: the Brazilian case
2006. The rate of substitution of foreign for domestic savings was high in Brazil in the period 1994-99, as the inverse rate was also high in the 2000-05 period. The critique of growth with foreign savings applied to Brazil. (Unpublished paper)
Substituição da poupança interna pela externa e seu inverso: o caso do Brasil
2006. The rate of substitution of foreign for domestic savings was high in Brazil in the period 1994-99, as the inverse rate was also high in the 2000-05 period. The critique of growth with foreign savings applied to Brazil.(Paper)
Exchange rate: fix, float, or manage it?
2006. The exchange rate determines not only exports and imports, but also real wages, consumption and the savings rate. (Preface to book edited by Mathias Vernengo)
A China vai se curvar? (Folha, 01.08.05)
2005 China evluated 2,1% the yuan, but this does not mean that she will submit to the US. The secret of her enormous growth has been to reject foreign savings and foreing advices.(Article: Folha de S.Paulo)
The Second Washington Consensus and Latin Americas Quasi-Stagnation
2004. With Carmen Varela. Latin Americas quasi-stagnation in the 1990s can be explained principally by the growth cum foreign savings strategy. (Paper: Journal of Post Keynesian Economics)
Desenvolvimento e Crise no Brasil (5a. edição)
2003. The patterns of economic development and the political pacts in Brazil from Vargas (1930) to Lula (2003). 5th revised edition almost doubling the size of the book. English version available. (Book: Editora 34)
Uma estratégia de desenvolvimento com estabilidade
2001. With Yoshiaki Nakano. A critique of economic policy - particularly of the high interest rates - adopted from 1995. Originally it was written as a document to PSDB. It is one of the founding papers of New Developmentalism. Spanish version available. (Paper/document: Revista de Economia Política, July 2002).*
Incompetência e confidence building por trás de 20 anos de quase estagnação da América Latina
2001. My first paper after leaving the Cardoso administration in June 1999. Incompetence and subordination to the North characterized Latin American economic policies since the early 1980s'. English version available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política) *
Latin America’s quasi-stagnation
2001. First economic paper since I left the Cardoso administration in June 1999. Incompetence and subordination to the North characterized Latin American economic policies since the early 1980s'. Portuguese version available with the original title of the paper, "Incompetência e confidence building por trás de 30 anos de quase-estagnação da América Latina". (Paper in book edited by Paul Davidson).
A fragilidade que nasce da dependência da poupança externa
2001 Critique of the growth with foreign savings policy. This short article is New Developmentalism's founding article, together with a paper that I wrote with Nakano no ano seguinte, "Economic growth with foreign savings?" (Valor 1000, 2001).
O Novo Rumo do Brasil (Folha, 17.03.99)
1999. Capital is made at home. Growth is a challenge that Brazilians must face using their own savings. (Folha de S.Paulo, 17.3.1999).
As três formas de desvalorização cambial
1997. An disguised (because I was part of the Cardoso administration) critique of exchange rate policy adopted by Brazil after the Real Plan. (Paper in Revista de Economia Política). *
Dolarização crônica: Argentina e Brasil
1991. With Aldo Ferrer. While dollarization is limited in Brazil, is generalized in Argentina (Paper written before the 'plan de convertibilidad': Revista de Economia Política )*
 
 
 
 
 

 

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